Chapter 9

Nature: forests growing, bison back, water scarce

Forest cover has grown without interruption since the war, Poland has the world's largest bison population, one of Europe's largest wolf populations and the continent's last primeval lowland forest. The weak points are concrete: water per head under half the EU average, afforestation collapsed, farmland birds in retreat.

Poland's nature has hard numbers that hold up against Europe: 29.6% of the country under forest (1945: 20.8%), over 80% of forests public and open to all, 39.6% of land under protection against 26.6% on average in the EU, 23 national parks visited by 16 million people a year, and the lowest share of threatened bird species in the Union. The strongest card is the large mammals — bison, wolf, lynx, bear, beaver and elk — whose populations have multiplied since 2000. The dark sides are shown by the same method: the water deficit, the Oder disaster and the collapse of afforestation.

Fig. 9.1

The forest recovery curve: forest cover 1945 → 2024

Share of forests in the country's area, %, 1945–2024 (Statistics Poland, geodetic area)

The forest recovery curve: forest cover 1945 → 202420%22%24%26%28%30%32%2050 target: 33%1945199520002005201020152020202220232024Poland 29.6%1945: 20.8% — 6.5 m ha
  • 20.8% (1945) → 29.6% (2024): +2.8 m ha of forest; 9.29 m ha; government target 33% by 2050
  • 80.9% of forests are public, 77.0% managed by the State Forests — open to all; 0.248 ha of forest per inhabitant
  • By the FAO definition: 31.1% (EU: 40.0%) — 7th in the EU by absolute forest area (9.5 m ha)

One graphic tells both the success and the slowdown: since the war forest cover has risen by almost nine percentage points, but since 2020 the curve has been flat. Polish forests are overwhelmingly common property and universally accessible — a rarity in Western Europe, where private forests dominate.

Why the curve stalled is shown by the chapter's last chart: the afforestation programme has practically expired.

Fig. 9.2

How much of Europe is protected: terrestrial protected areas in the EU

Terrestrial protected areas, % of land area, 2024 (World Bank / WDPA), selected EU countries

How much of Europe is protected: terrestrial protected areas in the EUBulgaria44.3%Poland39.6%Germany39.3%Luxembourg38.7%Cyprus38.6%Croatia38.4%Slovakia37.5%Greece35.0%Austria29.6%France28.6%Spain28.1%EU2726.6%EU: 26.6%
  • Poland 39.6% of land area (World Bank, 2024) vs 26.6% on average in the EU and 16.4% worldwide — 2nd in the Union after Bulgaria
  • National definition (Statistics Poland): 32.2% of the country under legal protection; Natura 2000: 19.6% (EU: 18.6%); 23 national parks = 1.0% of the country

In Europe's top tier: by share of protected areas Poland trails only Bulgaria in the Union. There are 2,699 m² of protected land per inhabitant — most in Warmia-Masuria (8,385 m²), least in Silesia (608 m²); the record holder is the Holy Cross region with 65% of its area under protection.

The Natura 2000 network (1,003 sites) covers 19.6% of the country — slightly above the EU norm, not at its top. The 23 national parks are only 1% of the area but draw 16.4 million visitors a year; the Tatra park alone receives nearly one in three of them.

Fig. 9.3

The great return: bison, wolf, lynx and bear 2000 → 2024

Numbers of selected protected species in Poland, individuals, 2000–2024 (Statistics Poland after GDOŚ; bison per the Pedigree Book)

The great return: bison, wolf, lynx and bear 2000 → 202401,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0002000200520102015202020232024Wolf 5,110European bison 3,060Lynx 636Brown bear 404European bisonWolfLynxBrown bear
  • Bison 715 → 3,060 (×4.3) — the world's largest population; wolf 1,086 → 5,110 (×4.7); bear 118 → 404 (×3.4); lynx 285 → 636 (×2.2)
  • Beaver 24,500 → 156,500 (×6.4); elk 18,600 (2015) → 45,700 (2025), +146%; wild boar 264,800 → 59,800 (−77%, ASF)

The strongest card of Polish nature is its large mammals. The European bison — a species extinct in the wild in 1919 — numbers 3,060 in Poland today, more than anywhere in the world; the Bison Pedigree Book has been kept in Poland continuously since 1947. Wolf and lynx rebounded precisely after protection (1998 and 1995), bear and beaver after 1952; the elk, almost exterminated after the war, is today one of Central Europe's most spectacular comebacks.

The only large mammal in clear decline is the wild boar: −77% in a decade, the effect of African swine fever and sanitary culling.

Fig. 9.4

From the Baltic to the Tatras: nature in six numbers

Parks, coast, mountains, birds

From the Baltic to the Tatras: nature in six numbers23national parks314,294 ha = 1.0% of the country; 16.4 mvisitors (2024)19.6%of the country in the Natura 2000networkEU: 18.6%; 1,003 sites687 kmof Baltic coastlineRysy 2,499 m; Hańcza 108.5 m — the deepestlake of the European Lowland141,885 haBiałowieża Forest (UNESCO)Europe's last primeval lowland forest; about25% of the world's bison10%of bird species threatenedthe lowest in the whole EU (2024)2,699 m²of protected area per inhabitantHoly Cross region: 65% of its area protected
  • Białowieża Forest — Poland's only natural UNESCO site (141,885 ha on both sides of the border), Europe's last primeval lowland forest, about 900 bison
  • Share of threatened bird species: 10% — the lowest in the EU (Estonia 41%, Denmark about 35%); 87–100 m breeding pairs a year; crane ×3 since 2001, white stork stable (97.9% of survey plots)

Poland is a lowland country with a narrow but very high mountain accent: over half its area lies between 100 and 199 m above sea level, land above 500 m is 3% of the country — and one peak reaches 2,499 m. In between: 687 km of coast, thousands of lakes, Central Europe's largest peat bogs on the Biebrza, and Białowieża Forest, Poland's only natural UNESCO site.

The birdlife surprises most: the share of species threatened with extinction is the lowest in the whole Union, and the crane has tripled in a quarter-century. The shadow of that story — farmland birds — is shown in the last chart.

Fig. 9.5

At the EU's tail end: water per inhabitant

Renewable freshwater resources per inhabitant, m³ a year, 2021, selected EU countries

At the EU's tail end: water per inhabitantFinland19,311 m³Sweden16,417 m³EU273,047 m³Spain2,344 m³Romania2,216 m³Poland1,449 m³Germany1,286 m³Czechia1,252 m³Hungary623 m³
  • Poland: 1,449 m³ of renewable freshwater per inhabitant a year vs 3,047 m³ on average in the EU (2021) — less than half
  • Not last in the EU: lower are Germany (1,286), Czechia (1,252), Hungary (623); in dry years resources fall below 40 bn m³
  • Oder 2022: about 360 tonnes of dead fish — the largest ecological disaster on a Polish river this century (a “golden alga” bloom favoured by salinity)

Statistics Poland says it plainly: “Poland is counted among countries poor in water resources.” Average resources are about 60 bn m³ a year — France has 206 bn, Sweden 184 bn — and in dry years they fall below 40 bn. The honest thesis is “at the EU's tail end”, not “lowest in the EU”: Germany, Czechia and Hungary have less.

The Oder disaster of summer 2022 — about 360 tonnes of dead fish, a toxic golden-alga bloom in a salinised river — showed how fragile the system is.

Fig. 9.6

The collapse of afforestation and the retreat of farmland birds

Area of afforestation of non-forest land in Poland, thousand ha a year

The collapse of afforestation and the retreat of farmland birds0 k ha10 k ha20 k ha30 k ha15.6 k ha26.5 k ha0.9 k ha199520032024
  • Afforestation of non-forest land: 15,600 ha (1995) → a record 26,500 ha (2003) → 900 ha (2024), −94%
  • Farmland bird index (FBI, 2000 = 1.00): 0.76 in 2024 — near its historical low; forest birds: 1.28 (EU: 0.69 and 1.05)

The chapter's sharpest dark spot. The national afforestation programme, adopted in 1995, planted 270,700 ha in 1996–2024 — but in 2024 only 900 ha, thirty times less than in the record year 2003. The 33% forest-cover target for 2050 is unreachable at this pace.

The second shadow is the fields: the common farmland bird index has fallen by a quarter since 2000 — more slowly than the EU average, but in an unmistakably bad direction — while forest birds are gaining faster than anywhere in the Union.